Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.979850e-01 4.008711e-01 0.520747 0.668529 0.843596 1.042241 1.282494
2025-12-14 1.625579e-01 2.819146e-01 0.444197 0.670623 0.968063 1.335632 1.813988
2025-12-21 8.305718e-02 1.943105e-01 0.373148 0.654359 1.058991 1.595227 2.333691
2025-12-28 4.389319e-02 1.433473e-01 0.332737 0.664479 1.179389 1.900150 2.935593
2026-01-04 2.125941e-02 1.043169e-01 0.294525 0.664606 1.279765 2.182331 3.525182
2026-01-11 8.197137e-03 7.098630e-02 0.250345 0.640595 1.334843 2.399773 4.035811
2026-01-18 2.566637e-03 4.849334e-02 0.216118 0.623049 1.393271 2.621595 4.560744
2026-01-25 6.597782e-04 3.522323e-02 0.196163 0.626667 1.484638 2.896231 5.172704
2026-02-01 3.992509e-05 2.251243e-02 0.167241 0.601856 1.519567 3.081272 5.657297
2026-02-08 2.053998e-07 1.775640e-02 0.161987 0.629397 1.652624 3.429869 6.401060
2026-02-15 NaN 1.230761e-02 0.147859 0.630688 1.733857 3.695832 7.026453
2026-02-22 NaN 1.073721e-02 0.151466 0.679170 1.912169 4.131838 7.929286
2026-03-01 NaN 8.342708e-03 0.147932 0.708594 2.057220 4.523008 8.783202
2026-03-08 NaN 5.732935e-03 0.138359 0.718242 2.162191 4.850556 9.548368
2026-03-15 NaN 3.277687e-03 0.122862 0.704972 2.216422 5.091479 10.182656
2026-03-22 NaN 2.115633e-03 0.116062 0.717619 2.327741 5.437555 10.996030
2026-03-29 NaN 1.177899e-03 0.106824 0.718775 2.412541 5.738399 11.742781
2026-04-05 NaN 4.344061e-04 0.092049 0.693910 2.434077 5.923778 12.303827
2026-04-12 NaN 1.222589e-04 0.080321 0.675603 2.468088 6.132186 12.907258
2026-04-19 NaN 3.305212e-05 0.074447 0.679567 2.556039 6.444342 13.691374
2026-04-26 NaN 4.954030e-07 0.063130 0.653358 2.565338 6.606484 14.225219
2026-05-03 NaN 1.621388e-09 0.063153 0.682563 2.718741 7.050708 15.248526
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.058163 0.683948 2.799414 7.356028 16.039986